Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000112 0.000123 0.000135 0.000148 0.000164 0.000180 0.000199
2025-12-21 0.000087 0.000103 0.000121 0.000143 0.000170 0.000201 0.000242
2025-12-28 0.000075 0.000093 0.000115 0.000144 0.000181 0.000227 0.000291
2026-01-04 0.000066 0.000086 0.000110 0.000145 0.000191 0.000252 0.000340
2026-01-11 0.000059 0.000079 0.000105 0.000143 0.000196 0.000270 0.000382
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000074 0.000102 0.000143 0.000204 0.000292 0.000431
2026-01-25 0.000049 0.000069 0.000097 0.000141 0.000208 0.000308 0.000472
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000065 0.000095 0.000141 0.000214 0.000327 0.000520
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000061 0.000091 0.000138 0.000216 0.000340 0.000560
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000057 0.000087 0.000135 0.000217 0.000351 0.000597
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000055 0.000085 0.000137 0.000225 0.000374 0.000657
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000054 0.000085 0.000139 0.000235 0.000401 0.000729
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000051 0.000081 0.000136 0.000236 0.000415 0.000776
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000047 0.000077 0.000131 0.000232 0.000419 0.000810
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000075 0.000132 0.000240 0.000444 0.000887
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000044 0.000074 0.000133 0.000247 0.000471 0.000972
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000072 0.000131 0.000249 0.000487 0.001036
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000040 0.000071 0.000132 0.000256 0.000514 0.001127
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000038 0.000068 0.000130 0.000258 0.000529 0.001193
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000130 0.000263 0.000552 0.001283
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000127 0.000263 0.000565 0.001350
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000125 0.000262 0.000575 0.001410
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000126 0.000270 0.000606 0.001530